Question about Probability - Stephen Maitzen responds
Suppose that you had two bags each with an infinite number of blue marbles. Suppose you also had another bag of infinity red marbles. If you mixed those three bags what are your odds of getting a red...
View ArticleQuestion about Probability - Allen Stairs responds
Let's say there is some crime committed and that only 5% of similar crimes are committed by someone like Person A (based on demographics, personality type, previous criminal record, etc.). If the...
View ArticleQuestion about Probability - Allen Stairs responds
Is there such thing as coincidence? I mean is it possible that something happen without any purpose or significance? Response from: Allen Stairs Suppose you and I are in the same room and we're bored....
View ArticleQuestion about Probability - Allen Stairs responds
Recently, Nate Silver won acclaim by correctly predicting the electoral results for all fifty states. If one of Silver's predictions had failed, however, would that have shown that he was wrong? I...
View ArticleQuestion about Probability - Allen Stairs responds
I'm going to ask a somewhat bizarre question concerning casuality, probability, and the nature of belief so bear with me thanks! Suppose a craps player goes to two casinos in Macau, the first one...
View ArticleQuestion about Death, Probability - Stephen Maitzen responds
If the probability of death is 100%, and the probability of being alive tomorrow is uncertain, does that mean the probability of dying tomorrow is greater than the probability of being alive? If so,...
View ArticleQuestion about Probability - Allen Stairs responds
In a chapter on regression to the mean (Thinking Fast and Slow) Daniel Kahneman resorts to "luck" as an explanation for why one professional golfer shoots a lower score in a round than his/her rivals...
View ArticleQuestion about Probability - Allen Stairs responds
Here's a probability question I've been wondering. Suppose there's a company that has a million customers. It is known that 55% of these customers are male and 45% of customers are female. Task is to...
View ArticleQuestion about Probability - Charles Taliaferro responds
Is there a philosophy of luck or does luck not exist? Is luck deterministic in that some people always are more lucky than others? Can luck be considered inborn? Response from: Charles Taliaferro...
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